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Home / Articles / NCAAB Picks -- Handicapping the Final Four

NCAAB Picks -- Handicapping the Final Four

By: Michael Alexander     Date: Apr 4, 2009
Print Article   

Today the College Basketball Picks world looks to the Final Four teams left in the Tournament. When looking at the trends of all final four and championship games played since 1996 it shows that favorites are 25-14 SU and 20-19 ATS (15-10 SU and 12-14 ATS in the Semis and 9-4 SU and 8-5 ATS in the Championship Game). Analysing this part of the NCAAB Picks season there are certainly some situations that have been historically strong that we can look to exploit this year.

Today we have #1 seed North Carolina installed as 7 point favorite over the #3 seed Villanova Wildcats and #1 seed Connecticut listed as a 4 point favorite over #2 seed Michigan St. So that we might get a good NCAAB Picks angle for today let's take an historical look at the seeds:

Seeds Listed as a favorite since 1996:

- 1 seeds as favorites are 12-11 ATS

- 2 seeds as favorites are 4-6 ATS

- 3 seeds as favorites are 2-0 ATS

Seeds Listed as an Underdog since 1996:

- 1 seeds as dogs are 8-5 ATS

- 2 seeds as dogs are 1-3 ATS

- 3 seeds as dogs are 5-4 ATS

Seed Matchups since 1996:

- 1 seeds favored over another 1 seed are 3-6 ATS

- 1 seeds favored over 2 seeds are 2-0 ATS

- 1 seeds favored over 3 seeds are 1-2 ATS

- 2 seeds favored over 3 seeds are 3-3 ATS

So outside of the seedings and their historical performances let's now take a look at home teams have faired when looking at pointspread ranges:

Pointspread ranges:

- Favorites of 3 points or less are 6-7 ATS

- Favorites of 3.5 to 6.5 points are 12-5 ATS

- Favorites of 7 to 9.5 points are 2-5 ATS

- Double digit favorites are 0-2 ATS

No doubt there will be more information from the "experts", some of which has no relevance to handicapping a profitable Final Four Picks. Join Michael Alexander as he pours through all the stats and correctly picks both winners of today's games.....All selections are GUARANTEED!


 

  Michael Alexander

Michael's Boise St/Virginia Tech Labor Day Laugher
Micheal has started off the football season WINNING 67% of his selections! Tonight Michaels ends the holiday weekend with a LAUGHER in the Boise State/Virginia Tech matchup! Join Michael as he has the Books running for cover with the EASY WINNER! "Guys, I have the WINNING all lined up for the taking and it might not be who you think....I GUARANTEE you we take home the CASH!"


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