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Articles by Michael Alexander |
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Does Rest this Late in Season Make a Profitable College Football Pick.... |
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Michael Alexander Nov 14, 2008 |
There is certainly enough articles and opinions on the affects that a week of rest has on a team. Most of these are written on professional football as it appears that most believe that the "youngsters" in College Football don't really respond either positively or negatively to a week of rest. Although you could certainly make an arguement that once in the pro ranks the wear and tear eventual ...
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Are BCS Unbeaten Contenders Worth a College Football Pick this Week? |
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Michael Alexander Nov 7, 2008 |
It's that time of the year when the run for a BCS takes shape and the rank of the unbeatens starts to dwindle. Some hopes of participating in a BCS Bowl has vanished while others still consider themselves in the hunt. Without argument, teams that are in the Top 10 and are still unbeaten certainly have the right to believe that if they keep winning they should land themselve to the promise lan ...
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Fading Favorites and Betting Dogs For Profitable College Football Picks... |
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Michael Alexander Oct 31, 2008 |
There are many different ways to handicap College Football Picks. Although there are some "experts" out there that want you to believe that they have the secret formula there are really only three primary forms of handicapping. They are fundamental, statistical and technical. Your best handicappers will employ a little of all three. This week in looking at our lineup of College Football pick ...
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Week #8 NFL Picks and Betting Angles..... |
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Michael Alexander Oct 25, 2008 |
The NFL season is quickly approaching the half way point and it has certainly been an interesting. Not only have we had some surprises but there have already been three head coaches fired for their teams lack of performance. The most recent in San Francisco as Singletary takes over for Nolan. Even with all of the turmoil it's still important to remember that it is football and every year has ...
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Packing it in for Profits with this Week's College Football Picks... |
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Michael Alexander Oct 24, 2008 |
In College Football Picks many twists and turns happen during the season based on the emotions of any particular team. In fact, it can be argued that in college football emotions can carry a team to levels that even the experts can't figure out. However, as we approach week #8 of the season you have to wonder if those same emotions that carried a team earlier are as much a factor now if they ...
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Week #7 NFL Picks and Betting Angles.... |
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Michael Alexander Oct 18, 2008 |
Although you can point to any season in which injuries have just about spoiled the season of a team this year it seems that more than a fair share of teams have been affected. Much has been written about the Patriots and Brady but there are other teams that have struggled with the injury bug as well. While handicapping NFL Picks this week it's certainly important to take injuries into account ...
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Road Teams and Profits This Week in College Football Picks.... |
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Michael Alexander Oct 17, 2008 |
In handicapping sporting events there are certainly enough opinions to support whatever team you feel will win in any given week of College Football Picks. However, the astute handicapper understands which ones are of value and which ones have no bearing on making a correct selection. One that I believe has a strong influence on the outcome of any particular game is the performance of a team ...
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Week #6 NFL Betting Angles and Picks.... |
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Michael Alexander Oct 12, 2008 |
The NFL season is quickly approaching the mid point and just like in years past there are pretenders as well as contenders imerging from the confusion. So, how do you separate the "BS" from the "Facts" to come up with come profitable NFL Picks? It's all in the numbers as they say, and one approach that has served well as a starting point is analysis of past angles and trends within the weeks ...
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Are Returning Starters in College Football a Key to Profits.... |
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Michael Alexander Oct 10, 2008 |
If you have been around sport handicapping for any period of time I am sure that you have heard talk about the experience of one team versus another. That is especially true when talk turns to playoffs or "big games". There is no doubt that it does have an impact as the season progresses and games become more important. The question however you have to answer is does the experience of a team ...
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Can a Week of Rest Turn Into a Profitable NFL Pick This Week.... |
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Michael Alexander Oct 4, 2008 |
Much has been written about bye weeks in the NFL and how it affects a teams performance in subsequent games. However, most of these articles focus on the bye week in it of itself. For the purposes of this article I decided to factor in a bye weeks affect on winning teams versus losing teams. Low and behold there certainly was something in this angle. In fact, losing teams faired better than ...
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When Betting the Unbeatens Can Be Hazardous to Your Bankroll..... |
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Michael Alexander Oct 3, 2008 |
The College Football Season is rolling along and this week marks the first week where the Conference Matchups really heat up. Along with that it is also far enough into the season where teams start to believe that they have a shot at a BCS Bowl birth. Especially when it comes to teams that roll into this week unbeaten at 5-0. However, for the bettor the important thing is whether or not thes ...
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NFL Week #4 Betting Angles and Predictions..... |
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Michael Alexander Sep 27, 2008 |
If anything that history can tell you when looking for NFL Picks it is that expect that unexpected. Who would have thought that Indy would be 1-2 and that the New England Patriots will be lucky to even make the playoffs. Regardless, it is also important to remember that the unexpected happens every season so focusing on the hear and now, although an important factor in picking winners, histor ...
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Does A Week Off in College Football Give a Betting Advantage? |
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Michael Alexander Sep 26, 2008 |
There are certainly no shortage of articles that talk about the value of having a week off in college football. Does it make a team rusty, does it give them the rest they need to adjust game plans if off to a poor start to the season, etc. Although you can argue any and all positions I decided to just look at some of the facts as opposed to conjecture. Since we have begun week #4 of the Coll ...
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Saturday College Football Betting Trends and Recommendations.... |
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Michael Alexander Sep 12, 2008 |
You've heard it all before, don't rely solely on trends as they can send you to the poor house pretty quickly. When you think about College Football it the noises become even louder with the experts pointing to the fact that teams at this level have constant personnel turnover yielding those same trends useless. Although one could argue either way the fact of the matter is that if you look so ...
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NFL Week #1 Historical Trends and Pick Recommendations...... |
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Michael Alexander Sep 7, 2008 |
The first few weeks of the NFL can be tricky for the bettor as teams are coming off a pre-season that was more of an audition for players trying to own a spot on the roster rather than a bon-a-fide look into the true performance of a team. Teams that were active in the off season tend to present a challenge as well for the bettor who is trying to assess if the new acquisitions will have alread ...
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Saturday NCAAF Betting Trends and Recommendations..... |
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Michael Alexander Sep 6, 2008 |
Although there is more to handicapping than going by straight trends and angles as teams in the College ranks changes from year to year can through historical performances right out the window. Look at the recent performance of the Floriday Seminoles who dominated for so long creating trends that if followed recently would have put us in the poor house. However, they are important to consider ...
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Totals in College Football...When is the OVER Profitable? |
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Michael Alexander Aug 31, 2008 |
With the conclusion of the first full Saturday of NCAAF action one can certainly reflect on the happenings and upsets but that most always lends itself to 20/20 hindsight. Although looking back can certainly help us for our future wagers as we factor in what happened but it is only an indicator at this point in the season. Instead of taking that track I would like to switch gears and look at ...
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College Football Week #1 Key Trends and Predictions...... |
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Michael Alexander Aug 30, 2008 |
College Football has kicked off it's season and today brings the first full Saturday of action. It is that time of the year now to dust off all of those handicapping angles and trends so that we might put the odds in our favor to make it a profitable Saturday. Although there is more to handicapping than just trends and angles it is an important factor to indentify as it will allow you to hone ...
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NFL Pre-Season Winners and Losers...... |
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Michael Alexander Aug 7, 2008 |
The NFL Pre-season picks can certainly be a challenge, especially in week #1, as teams look to play their veterans sparingly while looking for the next great player when 2nd, 3rd, and 4th stringers get some playing time. This can certainly be the opportunity that you need to win knowing what second tier players have a bit more talent than the other teams same backups. Another factor that has e ...
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NFL Week #1 Pre-Season Key Matchups and Predictions..... |
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Michael Alexander Aug 2, 2008 |
The long anticipated start to the football season is just about here with the Hall of Fame game kicking off tomorrow night! With that begins the excitement of Football along with numerous opportunities for profits! There are many contrary thoughts on whether or not money can be made during the Pre-Season as the amount of minutes starters play can be very unpredictable. However, I am in the c ...
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Saturday's NBA Betting Trends and Recommendations..... |
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Michael Alexander Mar 1, 2008 |
The NBA season is long and certainly teams go through their ups and downs as it progresses. Hot and cold streaks are the norm and it's important to keep an eye on injuries as well since they could have a profound impact on any given game. It is also important to factor into your handicapping historical matchups and results in addition to the above mentioned situations. This season has been a ...
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PAC-10 College Basketball Betting Trends and Predictions..... |
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Michael Alexander Feb 23, 2008 |
The College Basketball Picks season is winding down with the start of today's Braket Buster matchups and Conference Championships and March Madness just around the corner. It has been an interesting season where, up until at least tonight, only one ranked team remains unbeaten. Certainly you could argue the point that Memphis remains unbeaten because of a weak C-USA schedule, but none the les ...
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College Basketball Conference Betting Trends and Recomendations.... |
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Michael Alexander Feb 16, 2008 |
The NBA show cases their talent this weekend as they enter the All Start break. With the NBA season on hiatis, it leaves some great opportunities to cash in on some College Basketball Picks. As with most sports trends and angles play an important part in ones handicapping arsenal. Although one should not just blindly follow that method without taking into considering other factors such as in ...
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NBA Top Betting Trends...Predictions and Recommendations |
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Michael Alexander Feb 9, 2008 |
With the NFL season now over, with the exception of this weekends Pro Bowl, it is time to focus our attention to Basketball. The NBA is in full swing and with some surprises this season looks to be full of some great betting opportunities. The NBA season is long and as a result teams enter into both hot and cold streak througout the year. In addition, fatigue plays a factor as well since tea ...
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Super Bowl XLII Analysis...... |
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Michael Alexander Feb 3, 2008 |
In the final game of the NFL season the New York Giants take on the New England in the Super Bowl. The Giants earned their way to the big game by virtue of an overtime victory in the NFC Championship Game over the Green Bay Packers. Once again, QB Eli Manning came through connecting on 21 of 40 passes for 246 yards and no interceptions and continually put them in a position to win the game. ...
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Super Bowl Betting: Does Current ATS Performance Matter? |
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Michael Alexander Feb 2, 2008 |
By now, every conceivable angle and opinion as been voiced in one form or another creating as many thoughts of a New England Patriots win and cover as a New York Giants cover. In addition, by now everyone on the planet knows of the Patriots struggles during the second half of the season. After blowing through the first eight games of the season a perfect 8-0 SU and ATS they are not a woeful 2 ...
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NBA Basketball Top Betting Picks, Trends and Angles for Sunday.... |
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Michael Alexander Jan 27, 2008 |
The NBA is in full swing and once again it appears that the Western Conference is head and shoulders above their Eastern Rivals with six teams winning more than 60% of their games thus far. Although the East sports the team with the best reacord with Boston only Detroit and Orlando are the only other teams who have won over that same 60% of their games. That isn't to say however that there ar ...
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PAC-10 Top Betting Trends and Recommendations..... |
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Michael Alexander Jan 26, 2008 |
The College Basketball season with action just about everyday of the week presents us with a large amount of betting opportunities. Because of the large amount of games there are a number of games throughout the season where lines are missed by the books leaving us some great games at which to profit. But, even with these "mistakes" in the lines, it still boils down to studying the trends and ...
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NCAAB Mountain West ATS Trends and Recommendation.... |
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Michael Alexander Jan 21, 2008 |
Now that the football season is down to it's final two and there is a couple of weeks until the final game of the season I decided that it was time that we took a look at College Hoops and what opportunities are out there before the Super Bowl. College Basketball is a sport that historically feeds off of high emotions leaving teams who on paper were a lock to win susceptable to losing on any g ...
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NFC Championship New York Giants/Green Bay Packers Analysis |
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Michael Alexander Jan 20, 2008 |
The Green Bay Packers will look to exploit one of the NFL Picks best home field advantages when they host the New York Giants in the NFC Championship Game. Legend Brett Favre is hoping to lead the Packers into their fifth Super Bowl with a win over the Giants this Sunday. This will only be the second time that Favre will play an NFC title game at Lambeau Field. The last time that occurred th ...
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AFC Championship San Diego/New England Analysis |
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Michael Alexander Jan 19, 2008 |
The San Diego Chargers attempt to become and NFL Picks in the AFC Championship Game this weekend and spoil the New England Patriots drive for an unbeaten season and a 4th Super Bowl title. Outside of the Patriots the Chargers come in as the hottest team in the NFL having won their last eight in a row. Much of the success can be attributed to the much improved performance of their defense as t ...
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NFC Divisional New York Giants/Dallas Cowboys Analysis..... |
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Michael Alexander Jan 13, 2008 |
In a rematch of NFC East rivals the Dallas Cowboys play host to the New York Giants. This will be the third time that these two teams have met this season with the Cowboys taking the first two earlier in the year. The Cowboys were cruising along at 11-1 after beating Green Bay and were expected by most to be a lock for a Super Bowl birth. However, over the last month of the season they stumb ...
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AFC Divisional Playoff Jacksonville/New England Analysis..... |
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Michael Alexander Jan 12, 2008 |
In the Divisional round of NFL Picks Playoff action the Jacksonville Jaguars hit the road for the second week in a row when they travel to take on the unbeaten New England Patriots. Last week the Jaguars went into Pittsburgh and became the first opponent to win twice in the steel city in the same season in the Steelers' 75 year history. However, it didn’t seem that way initially as the Jaguar ...
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BCS Championship Preview w/ Top Trends..... |
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Michael Alexander Jan 7, 2008 |
This years College Football season comes to a close tonight with the Ohio State Buckeyes take on the LSU Tigers in the BCS Championship Game. This season was one of the most unpredictable in memory and tonight's participants certainly aren't without thoughts of whether or not they should be playing in this Top Game. But, as the old saying goes, "it is what it is" and neither you nor I can cha ...
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New York Giants/Tampa Bay Buccaneers Analysis..... |
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Michael Alexander Jan 6, 2008 |
After a disastrous season last year the Tampa Bay Buccaneers turned it completely around this year and look to beat the New York Giants today in a Wild Card matchup. Much of their turn around this year can be attributed to the play of QB Jeff Garcia who posted a 94.6 quarterback rating which was seventh in the league while throwing for 2,440 yards, 13 touchdowns with only four interceptions. ...
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AFC Wild Card Jacksonville/Pittsburgh Analysis |
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Michael Alexander Jan 5, 2008 |
The AFC Wild Card Playoff start today with the Jacksonville Jaguars who hope to become an NFL Playoff Picks team when they travel North to take on the Pittsburgh Steelers. Jacksonville comes into this one winning six of seven before losing a meaningless game last week and has no fear as they were the only team this season to beat the Steelers at home and outgained them 421-217 yards. The Jagu ...
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NFC Wild Card Washington/Seattle Analysis |
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Michael Alexander Jan 5, 2008 |
In an interesting NFL Playoff Picks matchup of NFC teams today the Washington Redskins travel to the great Northwest to take on the Seattle Seahawks. Just a few short weeks ago the Redskins were nowhere in the discussions of post season play as they sat at just 5-7 and were in the midst of dealing with the tragic death of safety Sean Taylor. Whether it was divine intervention or not Washingto ...
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New Years Eve Bowl Games Top Trends.... |
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Michael Alexander Dec 31, 2007 |
Over the last week there has been a number of Bowl games but New Years Eve marks the first big day of action. Just prior to the New Year we are treated to six bowl games to watch and hopefully profit on. To make sure that we are in the best position to profit from these opportunities I have disected today's top trends to consider in each of the Bowl Games. So, without much more banter below ...
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Tennessee/Indianapolis Sunday Night Analysis..... |
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Michael Alexander Dec 29, 2007 |
In an unusual turn of events in Week 17 the Tennessee Titans need only an NFL Picks win against the Indianapolis Colts to clinch the final AFC Wild Card slot. The Tennessee Titans control their destiny and they will be playing a Colts team that has already locked up a first-round bye. The Titans currently share the AFC's sixth seed with the Cleveland Browns at 9-6 SU. Just last year Tennessee ...
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Patriots/Giants Saturday Night Analysis... |
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Michael Alexander Dec 29, 2007 |
The New England Patriots take the best regular season on the road as they travel to the Meadowlands to take on the New York Giants. The Patriots can set a bunch of records in this one as they need only six points to break Minnesota's single-season record of 556 set in 1998. In addition, Brady is one shy of Peyton Manning's NFL record of 49 touchdown passes set in 2004 and tied with Dan Marino ...
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Friday's College Bowl Game Top Trends..... |
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Michael Alexander Dec 28, 2007 |
It's been an unpredicable season in College Football and it appears to be comtinueing into the Bowl Games as past trends seem to have fallen by the wayside. Even with the inconsistencies historical trends still need to be factored into your handicapping of games as the old saying "history tends to repeat itself" certainly has some merit. Last nights winner with Texas certainly put the profits ...
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Washington/Minnesota Sunday Night Analysis.... |
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Michael Alexander Dec 23, 2007 |
The Minnesota Vikings have the inside track on the final NFC playoff spot as in Week 16 they take on the Washington Redskins. The Minnesota Vikings have been red hot and will be looking for their sixth consecutive win. Minnesota currently is one game in front of the Redskins and New Orleans for the final Wild Card slot. It wasn’t easy for the Vikings last week as they had to rally to beat th ...
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College Football Bowl Picks: Holiday Hangover? |
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Michael Alexander Dec 22, 2007 |
The College Bowl season has it's first multiple game day today as bettors are treated to three seperate Bowl Games. In the first two games if you were to take the favorites you'd be going into today with a 1-1 ATS mark for a small loss. Since most of the general public loves to bet the favorites in general I decided to take a look at if that would be a profitable thing to do during Bowl seaso ...
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NCAAF Bowl Picks: Do Dogs Bark? |
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Michael Alexander Dec 21, 2007 |
The Bowl season kicked off last night as Utah sqeezed by Navy. This kicks off 32 games of College Football action. Most of the early games durin the Bowl season can certainly be trying as they tend to be some of your bigger mismatches. But as it showed last night, although the line might consider the game a mismatch, the dogs do sometimes bite. In looking at the numerous Bowl Games I scoure ...
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The Hot and Cold Bowl Picture.... |
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Michael Alexander Dec 20, 2007 |
The College Bowl season is upon us with tonight's Navy/Utah matchup in the Poinsettia Bowl. Although it might not be one of the marguee games within the 32 Bowl games it does start us looking at what matchups could poetntially offer us the best opportunity for profits. Although teams go riding into the Post Seaon on relative highs due to the fact of being able to play beyond the regular seaso ...
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Redskins/Giants Sunday Night Analysis..... |
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Michael Alexander Dec 16, 2007 |
The New York Giants look to continue their winning ways as they host the Washington Redskins. The Giants who for the most part have been forgotten due to the seasons that both Dallas and Green Bay are having come into this game at 9-4 winning nine of 11 since opening the season with consecutive losses to the Cowboys and Packers. In fact, New York needs only to win once in its final three game ...
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College Bowl Game Trends and Angles.... |
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Michael Alexander Dec 14, 2007 |
In one of the great times of the year, next week marks the start of 32 different College Bowl Games all culminating with Ohio State and LSU battle for the National Championship. Certainly there has been much discussions and disappointments about who should or should not have made the Bowl lineup but frankly it makes no difference at this point. What does matter is taking a look at ll of athe ...
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Thursday Night Denver Broncos/Houston Texans Analysis |
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Michael Alexander Dec 13, 2007 |
Following victories last week, the Denver Broncos and Houston Texans look to keep their slim NFL Picks playoff hopes alive when they meet Thursday night in Week 14 action. Denver comes into this game 6-7 SU and are two games behind AFC West-leading San Diego with three to go. A loss this week and a Chargers win would eliminate Denver from the division race. Denver is coming off a huge 41-7 wi ...
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Profiting From No Rest in the NBA on Tonight's Card |
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Michael Alexander Dec 8, 2007 |
The NBA season is long and grueling and as such lends itself to teams going on both hot and cold streaks. In addition, teams are at one time or another required to play multiple games in one week with some falling on consecutive days. As is no surprose some teams playing without any rest in back to back games do better than other squads. There are a number of reasons why this is the case inc ...
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NFL Week 14 Winning ATS Trends and Prediction.... |
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Michael Alexander Dec 8, 2007 |
As the NFL regular season winds down people seem to come out of the wood work professing who will and won't make the playoffs. Other than New England, Dallas, and Green Bay, that picture is still a bit fuzzy. However, with teams playing in do or die situations the next four weeks bettors all over will be focusing on those games that have possible playoff implications. It is then when it beco ...
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