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Home / Free Picks
  Tony Karpinski
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners (MLB) - Jul 3, 2008 10:10 PM EDT
Play: Money Line: -138     Detroit Tigers     Pick Title: FREE PICK
Detroit at Seattle (Baseball action) 10:10pm ET Look for the Tigers to bounce back here tonight after getting shutout on Wednesday afternoon. Carlos Silva is not a strikeout pitcher and I expect the Detroit lineup to tee-off on him tonight. Its pretty clear which team is more dominant here and the Tigers should get an easy victory on Independence Day Eve. Play the Detroit Tigers
 
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  John Ryan
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds (MLB) - Jul 3, 2008 7:10 PM EDT
Play: Money Line: 144     Washington Nationals     Pick Title: Washington
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Washington - Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 68-58 making 48 units since 2002. Play against home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher that are off a loss to a division rival as a favorite of -150 or higher, starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing. Reds starter Cueto is coming off an impressive start yielding 0 ER in 6.3 IP against Cleveland. He has lost 3 of 4 starts mostly attributed to poor run support. As the system shows above and the AiS grading confirms, Cueto will have a difficult time tonight. AiS shows an 80% probability that he will not complete 6 innings of work and should that occur Washington has a 73% probability of winning the game. Washington is 20-9 (+12.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons; 15-4 (+11.9 Units) against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Reds are in several poor roles for this game. Reds are 2-10 (-9.7 Units) against the money line versus a NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 to 4.20 this season; 5-17 (-13.3 Units) against the money line versus terrible power teams averaging 0.75 or less HR's/game this season.
 
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